Quantitative Economics

Journal Of The Econometric Society

Edited by: Stéphane Bonhomme • Print ISSN: 1759-7323 • Online ISSN: 1759-7331

Quantitative Economics: Nov, 2024, Volume 15, Issue 4

Dynamic Regression Discontinuity under Treatment Effect Heterogeneity

https://doi.org/10.3982/QE2150
p. 1035-1064

Yu‐Chin Hsu|Shu Shen

Regression discontinuity is a popular tool for analyzing economic policies or treatment interventions. This research extends the classic static RD model to a dynamic framework, where observations are eligible for repeated RD events and, therefore, treatments. Such dynamics often complicate the identification and estimation of long‐term average treatment effects. Empirical papers with such designs have so far ignored the dynamics or adopted restrictive identifying assumptions. This paper presents identification strategies under various sets of weaker identifying assumptions and proposes associated estimation and inference methods. The proposed methods are applied to revisit the seminal study of Cellini, Ferreira, and Rothstein (2010) on long‐term effects of California local school bonds.


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Supplemental Material

Supplement to "Dynamic Regression Discontinuity under Treatment Effect Heterogeneity"

Yu-Chin Hsu and Shu Shen

This supplemental appendix contains material not found within the manuscript.

Supplement to "Dynamic Regression Discontinuity under Treatment Effect Heterogeneity"

Yu-Chin Hsu and Shu Shen

The replication package for this paper is available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.12037888. The Journal checked the data and codes included in the package for their ability to reproduce the results in the paper and approved online appendices.