Quantitative Economics

Journal Of The Econometric Society

Edited by: Stéphane Bonhomme • Print ISSN: 1759-7323 • Online ISSN: 1759-7331

Quantitative Economics: Nov, 2024, Volume 15, Issue 4

Covariate Adjustment in Stratified Experiments

https://doi.org/10.3982/QE2475
p. 971-998

Max Cytrynbaum

This paper studies covariate adjusted estimation of the average treatment effect in stratified experiments. We work in a general framework that includes matched tuples designs, coarse stratification, and complete randomization as special cases. Regression adjustment with treatment‐covariate interactions is known to weakly improve efficiency for completely randomized designs. By contrast, we show that for stratified designs such regression estimators are generically inefficient, potentially even increasing estimator variance relative to the unadjusted benchmark. Motivated by this result, we derive the asymptotically optimal linear covariate adjustment for a given stratification. We construct several feasible estimators that implement this efficient adjustment in large samples. In the special case of matched pairs, for example, the regression including treatment, covariates, and pair fixed effects is asymptotically optimal. We also provide novel asymptotically exact inference methods that allow researchers to report smaller confidence intervals, fully reflecting the efficiency gains from both stratification and adjustment. Simulations and an empirical application demonstrate the value of our proposed methods.


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Supplemental Material

Supplement to "Covariate Adjustment in Stratified Experiments"

Max Cytrynbaum

This supplemental appendix contains material not found within the manuscript.

Supplement to "Covariate Adjustment in Stratified Experiments"

Max Cytrynbaum

The replication package for this paper is available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.12674972. The Journal checked the data and codes included in the package for their ability to reproduce the results in the paper and approved online appendices.