Econometrica: Nov, 2024, Volume 92, Issue 6
Caution and Reference Effects
https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA21748
p. 2069-2103
Simone Cerreia‐Vioglio|David Dillenberger|Pietro Ortoleva
We introduce Cautious Utility, a new model based on the idea that individuals are unsure of trade‐offs between goods and apply caution. The model yields an endowment effect, even when gains and losses are treated symmetrically. Moreover, it implies either loss aversion or loss neutrality for risk, but in a way unrelated to the endowment effect, and it captures the certainty effect, providing a novel unified explanation of all three phenomena. Cautious Utility can help organize empirical evidence, including some that directly contradicts leading alternatives.
Supplemental Material
Supplement to "Caution and Reference Effects"
Simone Cerreia-Vioglio, David Dillenberger, and Pietro Ortoleva
This appendix includes all the missing proofs and the ancillary facts used in the main body of the paper. We begin with a section on facts instrumental for Theorem 1 and Proposition 5.
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